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Air Traffic in ‘Gentle Recovery’ According to New Data

Air Traffic in ‘Gentle Recovery’ According to New Data

Air traffic is slowly in recovery, according to a new report published by the European Organisation for the Safety of Air Navigation, EUROCONTROL.

Eurcontrol’s latest study looks at the number of ‘inactive’ aircraft across Europe as a way of assessing the general health of the industry, using the logic that an airplane only generates revenue when it is flying, and generates only costs when it is on the ground.

On Sunday, 13 June, there were 3,384 inactive aircraft across Europe, which is the lowest number of parked airplanes since March 18, 2020.

It is still higher than the pre-pandemic average: in 2019, over the course of a typical week around 2,000 aircraft would remain parked at European airports.

Seasonality

Aircraft are busier in summer, so there is a natural seasonality: the number inactive dropped to around 1,500 in July 2019.

Inactive aircraft could be business aviation and private aircraft that do not necessarily fly every week, aircraft under maintenance or repair, or even recently retired aircraft.

Already at the end of 2019, traffic growth was weakening and there was a slight increase in the number of inactive aircraft compared to the previous winter.

April 2020, when Europe went into lockdown, witnessed the most dramatic change: 5,000 aircraft that were regularly flying every week joined those parked at airports.

European Airports as Parking Lots

At the peak of the crisis in April 2020, nearly 7,200 aircraft were “asleep”, occupying aprons, taxiways and even runways where necessary. For days, weeks and months depending on the case and the airline strategy.

Some airlines even accelerated plans to retire part of their fleet, including icons like B747s or A380s. (Those flown to deserts away from Europe drop out of these statistics.)

The partial recovery of traffic in summer 2020 allowed some of these inactive aircraft to fly again and the total number of inactive aircraft decreased to a little over 3,500.

But then the second, winter COVID wave in Europe brought many of these aircraft back to the ground, and although the Christmas season improved the situation, new travel restrictions with the third COVID wave in early 2021 pushed the number of inactive airframes back to almost 5,000.

A Gentle Recovery

However, according to the report, as summer 2021 gets under way, the gentle recovery in flights is seeing more aircraft brought back into service: more than 800 since the start of May, leaving our airports with the fewest inactive aircraft since the pandemic began. A good sign for the summer ahead.

 

 

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Fionn Davenport is the editor-in-chief of the ITTN group, including ITTN and ITTN Ireland. He's one of Ireland's best-known travel journalists and writers, with nearly 30 years' experience writing guidebooks for Lonely Planet and others.

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